From politics to technology to real estate, Keith Rabois has bold predictions for America’s next decade. In this conversation with Erik Torenberg and Alex Rampell, Keith breaks down why he believes the U.S. is entering a new economic expansion driven by AI, productivity, and sovereign technology. They discuss how AI could lift GDP growth to 5%, why sovereign AI projects are inevitable, and why America can “grow its way out” of debt. Keith also shares his takes on Trump’s second term, the decline of legacy institutions, OpenAI’s dominance, and the future of Google and Microsoft. Timecodes: 00:00 - Intro 00:45 - Iran neutralized & rise of Sovereign AI 02:30 - Trump’s second term, growth, & Fed battles 04:05 - Government shutdown, deregulation & media collapse 07:05 - Elon–Trump reconciliation & growth vs austerity 09:05 - AI’s GDP impact & America’s next boom 11:35 - OpenAI’s dominance & Google’s existential challenge 15:05 - The coming AI hardware revolution 19:25 - Big Tech under AI pressure: Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Apple 31:10 - Opendoor and the Amazon-for-Homes thesis 37:10 - The state of Fintech 46:01 - Why experts don’t innovate Resources: Follow Keith on X: https://x.com/rabois Follow Alex on X: https://x.com/arampell Stay Updated: If you enjoyed this episode, be sure to like, subscribe, and share with your friends! Resources: Find a16z on X: https://x.com/a16z Find a16z on LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/a16z Listen to the a16z Podcast on Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/5bC65RDvs3oxnLyqqvkUYX Listen to the a16z Podcast on Apple Podcasts: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a16z-podcast/id842818711 Follow our host: https://x.com/eriktorenberg Please note that the content here is for informational purposes only; should NOT be taken as legal, business, tax, or investment advice or be used to evaluate any investment or security; and is not directed at any investors or potential investors in any a16z fund. a16z and its affiliates may maintain investments in the companies discussed. For more details please see a16z.com/disclosures.