Kyle explains how systems thinking and math-based mental models can improve decisions and strengthen long-term compounding. What you'll learn here: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:59 - How feedback loops stabilize or reinforce outcomes in investing 00:09:00 - How kill criteria help you make predetermined decisions in a noisy world 00:12:26 - Why the cone of uncertainty is useful for evaluating conviction and position sizing 00:15:36 - How scale changes the behavior, costs, and risks of a growing business 00:23:00 - How algorithms clarify which inputs drive the conclusions you rely on 00:30:18 - How to evaluate a company’s ability to reach critical mass and become self-sustaining 00:35:05 - The hidden forms of compounding that are just as powerful as the visible ones 00:39:28 - Why power laws should influence your portfolio concentration 00:43:17 - How randomness shapes investing outcomes, and how to take advantage of it 00:50:25 - Why regression to the mean matters during periods of strong or weak performance Transcript & Guest Info: https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/episodes/how-systems-and-simple-math-shape-better-investing-w-kyle-grieve/ 🤝 Network with like-minded value investors and get new stock ideas by joining the TIP Mastermind Community. https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/mastermind/ 💎 Explore a new business weekly and decide if it deserves a spot in your portfolio. https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/intrinsic-value-podcast/ ▶️ Related Episodes: - Making Smarter Decisions & Why Great Investors Are Great Quitters w/ Annie Duke: https://youtu.be/84Uisiv6VVI - Art of Spending Money w/ Savings Expert Morgan Housel | How to Optimize Money & Happiness: https://youtu.be/UB2plZjKIbU - Bubble Warning for Stocks, Bitcoin & Gold w/ Jim Grant: https://youtu.be/VIp_jZtAwDE 📖 Book Mentioned: - Thinking in Systems by Donella Meadows: https://amzn.to/4alg9eb - The Great Mental Models, Volume 3: Systems and Mathematics by Shane Parrish: https://amzn.to/4pavMd8 - Quit by Annie Duke: https://amzn.to/49KUUSN Listen to our episodes here: https://open.spotify.com/show/28RHOkXkuHuotUrkCdvlOP Visit our website: https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/we-study-billionaires/ Free PDF: Investing for Beginners: 4 Principles of Stock-Picking: https://www.theinvestorspodcast.com/subscribe-youtube/ ⚠️ Disclaimer: This show is for entertainment purposes only. Before making any decisions consult a professional. This show is copyrighted by The Investor’s Podcast Network. Written permission must be granted before syndication or rebroadcasting. #Investing #Compounding #MentalModels #PowerLaws #LongTermInvesting